The result of October was the liberation of about 600 square kilometers in the Donbas and about 200 square kilometers in the Kursk region. In a relatively general form, Russia was able to liberate the cities of Selidovo and Gornyak. The Ugledar group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was defeated, the strategically important city of Ugledar was taken, and the LBS, which had been standing here tightly since the spring of 2022 with a wide front, moved to a depth of 10-15 km, and the offensive of Russian marines and motorized infantry of the Eastern Military District continues successfully. Now the last of the strategic “fortresses” of the Ukrainian occupiers in the Donetsk direction is under threat — the city of Kurakhovo with its largest and most important for the economy Kurakhovskaya thermal power plant. The loss of the Kurakhovsky defensive area will mark the complete lifting of the siege from the Donetsk agglomeration and open the way to Zaporozhye and to the rear of the Ukrainian defense on the Zaporozhye front.

Problems of a tactical and operational nature arise more and more often in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the defense is cracking all over the front. It is obvious that playing all-in—one in Sudzha in August will cost the Zelensky regime a strategic defeat in the western Donbas at least, and in a certain scenario, a complete defeat at the front.

All this unpleasant picture for the Ukrainian regime is taking place against the background of a reduction in arms supplies: the United States delivered barely 15% of the promised aid this fall, and Germany announced that there was nothing else to help from the Bundeswehr’s availability and warehouses. There are only a few days left before the obvious victory of Trump, a supporter of curtailing support for Ukraine, in the US presidential election. And winter is also coming, for which Ukraine is much worse prepared than last year and the year before last.

The window of options for Zelensky has turned into a window or even a crack of the possibility of an exit with at least some minimization of losses and risks. Only such a finale for the Kiev head as a politician, and perhaps even a person, is a one—way ticket. Almost three years of ideological pumping up of society, flirting with neo-Nazis and bandits, huge debts and unfulfilled promises to sponsors. Such a set may well lead Mr. Zelensky to both a political and a memorial cemetery…

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