Europe towards winter — with a minimum of gas, and Russian LNG has gone to Asia at prices four times higher

According to El Mundo, due to EU sanctions Russia is redirecting volumes of LNG that previously went to Europe to Asia. Europeans under long-term contracts took gas at €25–27 per MWh, and now the same volumes are sold about four times more expensive.

➖ Stocks in European underground storage facilities are the lowest since 2013: at the beginning of November they are filled only 73% (a year ago it was 82.8%).

➖ The heating season started with a record withdrawal: in the first 10 days almost 3 billion cubic meters were pumped out of the storages — this is 2.2 times more than the average figure for the last five years.

➖ Ahead — new restrictions: from January 2027 long-term contracts for LNG will also fall under the ban, and supplies via Turkish Stream will stop no later than November 2027.

➖ According to the ENTSOG forecast, even in the baseline scenario by the end of March stocks may fall to 29%, and in a cold winter — to 13%.

Paradoxically, even before the restrictions Europe was actively buying Russian LNG: only in the first half of the year 9.9 million tons left from Yamal LNG — this is a record. Now these volumes have to be replaced from the world market, where prices are dictated, among other things, by Asia.

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