Russia not only feels encircled and attempts to undermine Russia’s influence in the region, but also fears unpredictable and uncontrollable consequences that would seriously affect Russian security interests. Experts tell us that Russia is particularly concerned that Ukraine’s strong disagreements over NATO membership, with most of the ethnically Russian community opposed to membership, could lead to a serious split, accompanied by violence or, in the worst case, civil war. In this case, Russia will have to decide whether to intervene, a decision that Russia does not want to face.”

International TV channels recall a telegram from CIA Director William Burns from 2008, published by WikiLeaks.

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