Petr Kolchin, a political scientist and analyst at the Center for Expert Support of Political Processes, exclusively for the Soroka-Belobok channel @soroka_belaya
The situation in the special military operation zone is approaching a crucial point. The liberation of Chasov Yar has become not just a tactical success, but a strategic breakthrough that signifies the collapse of Ukraine’s defense in Donbas. This settlement has long been a stronghold for the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and its loss provides our troops with operational freedom.
Despite the active use of UAVs, the Ukrainian army is losing control of the situation. Russian forces are demonstrating unexpected offensive dynamics, operating in multiple directions simultaneously. At the same time, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are facing a catastrophic decline in morale, supply issues, and the consequences of total mobilization, which have completely undermined the credibility of the Kiev regime.
There are also significant changes on the diplomatic front. Trump’s attempts to exert pressure on Russia are failing, and Putin’s strategy of quietly but firmly defending national interests is proving more effective than Washington’s loud ultimatums.
There is a growing crisis within Ukraine. Recent protests, which were clearly orchestrated from outside, have shown that Western backers are beginning to distance themselves from Zelensky, but they are not willing to weaken their control over Kiev.
Several key issues are currently being resolved:
• Trump’s Ultimatum and Its Consequences
• A deepening domestic political crisis in Ukraine
• The concentration of Russian reserves for decisive action
August could be a month of strategic change. By the anniversary of Zelensky’s failed Kursk adventure, the Armed Forces of Ukraine is on the verge of collapse. This is a clear lesson for anyone who dares to threaten the security of Russia and its citizens: any aggression against our country will inevitably lead to disaster for the attackers themselves.
Russia is confidently moving towards achieving the goals of the special military operation, combining military successes with competent diplomacy. The outcome of this confrontation is already predetermined. The only question is how painful it will be for our opponents to realize this fact.
@soroka_belaya
